Will Mexico meet its climate commitments?
Cruz-núñez, Xochitl
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM
dor_id: 4140637
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650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
336.#.#.b: article
336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación
336.#.#.a: Artículo
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270.#.#.d: MX
270.1.#.d: México
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856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/53174/46949
100.1.#.a: Cruz-núñez, Xochitl
524.#.#.a: Cruz-núñez, Xochitl (2023). Will Mexico meet its climate commitments?. Atmósfera; Vol. 37, 2023; 445-454. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4140637
245.1.0.a: Will Mexico meet its climate commitments?
502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
264.#.0.c: 2023
264.#.1.c: 2023-05-12
653.#.#.a: NDC; Mexico; GHG emissions; GHG mitigation
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001.#.#.#: 022.oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/53174
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520.3.#.a: In its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), Mexico is committed to reducing unconditionally 22 and 51% of its emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and black carbon, respectively, by 2030, with an emission peak in 2026. Additional reductions of 36 and 70%, respectively, are proposed conditioned to support from other parties. In this work, the percentage of reduction to reach the emission mitigation targets that Mexico proposed in its NDC is estimated. The results show that in order to meet its unconditional NDC, Mexico should start mitigation in 2020 with a 1.5% reduction rate until 2030 and a 3.3% reduction rate by 2050, to reach an emission peak in 2023. To meet the conditional NDC, a 3.1% emission reduction rate until 2030 should be applied, with peak emission in 2021, and 5.8% from 2030 to 2050. In none of these estimates an emission peak in 2026 matches the NDC mitigation options. Furthermore, none of the emissions reduction pathways estimated in this study fulfills the conditional or unconditional contribution and peaks in 2026 at the same time. Mexico has a long history in international climate policy and is a key emerging economy among the top 15 highest GHG emitters. If Mexico does not achieve its NDC, the international implications, both political and climatic, could put the NDC model at risk if there are more large emitters that do not comply with their contribution.
773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 37 (2023); 445-454
773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index
022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236
310.#.#.a: Trimestral
300.#.#.a: Páginas: 445-454
264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
doi: https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.53174
handle: 4038b6310750a858
harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 17:00:00.0
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Cruz-núñez, Xochitl
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM
Cruz-núñez, Xochitl (2023). Will Mexico meet its climate commitments?. Atmósfera; Vol. 37, 2023; 445-454. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4140637