Trend analysis and forecast of annual precipitation and temperature series in the Eastern Mediterranean region
Sakalis, Vasileios D.
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM
dor_id: 4152347
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336.#.#.b: article
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336.#.#.a: Artículo
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351.#.#.b: Atmósfera
351.#.#.a: Artículos
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270.#.#.d: MX
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883.#.#.u: https://revistas.unam.mx/catalogo/
883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM
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850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/53272/47014
100.1.#.a: Sakalis, Vasileios D.
524.#.#.a: Sakalis, Vasileios D. (2024). Trend analysis and forecast of annual precipitation and temperature series in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Atmósfera; Vol. 38, 2024; 381-408. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4152347
245.1.0.a: Trend analysis and forecast of annual precipitation and temperature series in the Eastern Mediterranean region
502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
264.#.0.c: 2024
264.#.1.c: 2024-02-15
653.#.#.a: Time Series; Arima; Cru Ts 4.05; Climate Change Impact; Climate Variability; Greece; Turkey; Cyprus; Israel; Lebanon
506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx
884.#.#.k: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/53272
001.#.#.#: 022.oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/53272
041.#.7.h: eng
520.3.#.a: The present study aims to examine the current trend of annual precipitation and temperature series referred to the Eastern Mediterranean basin on a national basis, including the annual variability of sea surface temperature anomalies and the connection effect with the North Atlantic Oscillation and the Mediterranean Oscillation indices (NAOI and MOI, respectively). The period under consideration is mainly the last 32 years, from 1990 to 2021. Additionally, the prediction of monthly and yearly temperature and precipitation series, based on the autoregressive integrated moving average model on a national base, for the next four or eight years, is another interesting feature of the present study. Results indicate rising trends in the annual precipitation during 1990-2021, mostly non-significant and significant warming trends in the annual temperature, including sea surface temperature. The NAOI is highly correlated mostly with annual temperature, whereas the MOI does not affect the variation of annual precipitation and temperature. The results of the present study are in general agreement with the results of available studies in the literature, and they could be of high interest to national authorities and environmental unions/organizations, to help decision-makers face climate change.
773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 38 (2024); 381-408
773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index
022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236
310.#.#.a: Trimestral
264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
doi: https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.53272
handle: 71d25ae0ef5b9df9
harvesting_date: 2024-02-23 00:00:00.0
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last_modified: 2024-02-23 00:00:00
license_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es
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Sakalis, Vasileios D.
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM
Sakalis, Vasileios D. (2024). Trend analysis and forecast of annual precipitation and temperature series in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Atmósfera; Vol. 38, 2024; 381-408. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4152347