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856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/19486/21724

100.1.#.a: Arganis Juárez, M. L.; Domínguez Mora, R.; Fuentes Mariles, G.; Gutiérrez-lópez, A.

524.#.#.a: Arganis Juárez, M. L., et al. (2010). Synthetic generation of monthly sea surface temperatures in "El Niño" regions by means of the Fiering-Svanidze method. Atmósfera; Vol. 23 No. 4, 2010. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/11250

245.1.0.a: Synthetic generation of monthly sea surface temperatures in "El Niño" regions by means of the Fiering-Svanidze method

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2010

264.#.1.c: 2010-10-01

653.#.#.a: Monthly time series; modified Svanidze method; ARMA models; Fiering method; sea surface temperature; “El Niño” phenomenon; Monthly time series; modified Svanidze method; ARMA models; Fiering method; sea surface temperature; “El Niño” phenomenon

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

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041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: Traditional methods, autoregressive moving average models ARMA(p,q), Fiering, Svanidze, among others, have been successfully used in estimating hydrological time series such as flows, inflow volumes to reservoirs, series with a winter component, precipitation; nevertheless, their application to mean average sea surface temperatures (SST) in three regions, which jointly explain most of the rainfall and runoff patterns in México (González et al., 2000), did not get to reproduce the high autocorrelations shown by the historical temperature records of each region neither the cross correlations among them. In this paper, a brief description of three traditional methods is presented, followed by their application to the case of study and some comments about the limitations of the obtained results. Finally, a procedure is proposed which allows to take advantage of the virtues of both methods (Fiering and Svanidze), through which it is possible to obtain synthetic records that preserve the statistical characteristics of the historical record, specially the autocorrelations and the cross correlations.

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 23 No. 4 (2010)

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

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022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

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264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

handle: 1d01d32233eca5f3

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

856.#.0.q: application/pdf

245.1.0.b: Synthetic generation of monthly sea surface temperatures in "El Niño" regions by means of the Fiering-Svanidze method

last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00

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Artículo

Synthetic generation of monthly sea surface temperatures in "El Niño" regions by means of the Fiering-Svanidze method

Arganis Juárez, M. L.; Domínguez Mora, R.; Fuentes Mariles, G.; Gutiérrez-lópez, A.

Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Arganis Juárez, M. L., et al. (2010). Synthetic generation of monthly sea surface temperatures in "El Niño" regions by means of the Fiering-Svanidze method. Atmósfera; Vol. 23 No. 4, 2010. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/11250

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Arganis Juárez, M. L.; Domínguez Mora, R.; Fuentes Mariles, G.; Gutiérrez-lópez, A.
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Synthetic generation of monthly sea surface temperatures in "El Niño" regions by means of the Fiering-Svanidze method
Fecha
2010-10-01
Resumen
Traditional methods, autoregressive moving average models ARMA(p,q), Fiering, Svanidze, among others, have been successfully used in estimating hydrological time series such as flows, inflow volumes to reservoirs, series with a winter component, precipitation; nevertheless, their application to mean average sea surface temperatures (SST) in three regions, which jointly explain most of the rainfall and runoff patterns in México (González et al., 2000), did not get to reproduce the high autocorrelations shown by the historical temperature records of each region neither the cross correlations among them. In this paper, a brief description of three traditional methods is presented, followed by their application to the case of study and some comments about the limitations of the obtained results. Finally, a procedure is proposed which allows to take advantage of the virtues of both methods (Fiering and Svanidze), through which it is possible to obtain synthetic records that preserve the statistical characteristics of the historical record, specially the autocorrelations and the cross correlations.
Tema
Monthly time series; modified Svanidze method; ARMA models; Fiering method; sea surface temperature; “El Niño” phenomenon; Monthly time series; modified Svanidze method; ARMA models; Fiering method; sea surface temperature; “El Niño” phenomenon
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

Enlaces