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100.1.#.a: García Barrón, L.; Pita, Ma. Fernanda

524.#.#.a: García Barrón, L., et al. (2004). Stochastic analysis of time series of temperatures in the south-west of the Iberian Peninsula. Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 4, 2004. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/11203

245.1.0.a: Stochastic analysis of time series of temperatures in the south-west of the Iberian Peninsula

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561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2004

264.#.1.c: 2009-10-05

653.#.#.a: Stochastic processes; time series; climate change; Iberian Peninsula; STOCHASTIC PROCESSES; TIME SERIES; CLIMATE CHANGE; IBERIAN PENINSULA

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

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520.3.#.a: Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models have been devised for long-term monthly series of maximum and minimum temperatures from south-western Spanish observatories. The original series were transformed into stationary ones, and the orders (p, d, q) for each monthly series were obtained. These were validated using series of residuals, and the parameters of the functions were estimated from the monthly stochastic models. The forecasts of change formulated from the ARIMA models suggest that the minimum temperatures in the study area are in a mean warming phase of the order of 0.2 ºC over the next decade. The change in maximum temperatures is not significantly defined. These estimations correspond with those obtained by the authors in earlier studies using other methods, but the level of precision is much higher in this case.

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 4 (2004)

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

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harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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245.1.0.b: Stochastic analysis of time series of temperatures in the south-west of the Iberian Peninsula

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Artículo

Stochastic analysis of time series of temperatures in the south-west of the Iberian Peninsula

García Barrón, L.; Pita, Ma. Fernanda

Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

García Barrón, L., et al. (2004). Stochastic analysis of time series of temperatures in the south-west of the Iberian Peninsula. Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 4, 2004. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/11203

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
García Barrón, L.; Pita, Ma. Fernanda
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Stochastic analysis of time series of temperatures in the south-west of the Iberian Peninsula
Fecha
2009-10-05
Resumen
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models have been devised for long-term monthly series of maximum and minimum temperatures from south-western Spanish observatories. The original series were transformed into stationary ones, and the orders (p, d, q) for each monthly series were obtained. These were validated using series of residuals, and the parameters of the functions were estimated from the monthly stochastic models. The forecasts of change formulated from the ARIMA models suggest that the minimum temperatures in the study area are in a mean warming phase of the order of 0.2 ºC over the next decade. The change in maximum temperatures is not significantly defined. These estimations correspond with those obtained by the authors in earlier studies using other methods, but the level of precision is much higher in this case.
Tema
Stochastic processes; time series; climate change; Iberian Peninsula; STOCHASTIC PROCESSES; TIME SERIES; CLIMATE CHANGE; IBERIAN PENINSULA
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

Enlaces