dor_id: 4132195

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650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

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336.#.#.a: Artículo

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351.#.#.b: Geofísica Internacional

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270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

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883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial

850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI/article/view/241/230

100.1.#.a: Bravo Cabrera, José Luis; Azpra Romero, Enrique; Zarraluqui Such, Victor Carlos; Gay García, Carlos; Estrada Porrúa, Francisco

524.#.#.a: Bravo Cabrera, José Luis, et al. (2010). Significance tests for the relationship between “El Niño” phenomenon and precipitation in Mexico. Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 49 Núm. 4: Octubre 1, 2010; 245-261. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4132195

245.1.0.a: Significance tests for the relationship between “El Niño” phenomenon and precipitation in Mexico

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2010

264.#.1.c: 2010-10-01

653.#.#.a: ENSO; precipitación; significancia estadística; territorio mexicano; variabilidad climática; ENSO; precipitation; statistical significance; Mexican territory; climatic variability

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC-SA 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico revistagi@igeofisica.unam.mx

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041.#.7.h: spa

520.3.#.a: We describe the behavior of the statistical significance of the differences in rainfall in Mexico during the occurrence of “El Niño”, “La Niña”, or neutral conditions. This analysis, which had not been made before, reveals the areas in which the effect of ENSO is statistically significant. The analyses were carried out for the wet season (June, July, August and September), for the dry season (December, January and February), and for the whole year. Straight lines were fitted using precipitation as the dependent variable and the value of the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) as the independent variable. We also compared precipitation between different “El Niño”, “La Niña” and neutral conditions using the Wilcoxon – Mann - Whitney test. The results show that during the occurrence of “El Niño”, precipitation decreases in the south and increases significantly in northern and northwestern Mexico. By contrast, in years under “La Niña”, rainfall increases in the south and decreases towards the north. In central Mexico differences with respect to neutral conditions are not significant. Comparing the wet and dry seasons, their behavior is somewhat different. During the wet season, and under “El Niño” conditions, the rainfall decreased in the southern and central areas, remaining roughly unchanged in the north. Under “La Niña” conditions and the wet season, the precipitation increased in the south. During the dry season and under “El Niño” conditions, rainfall increases towards north and northwest, while with “La Niña” it decreases southwards. The ENSO phenomenon explains between 3.7 and 8.9% of the variance of the precipitation; this may be due to the many weather phenomena affecting precipitation in varying and unknown proportions. Nevertheless, in some important regions of the country the ENSO phenomenon influences the precipitation in a way that is statistically significant.doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2010.49.4.132

773.1.#.t: Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 49 Núm. 4: Octubre 1, 2010; 245-261

773.1.#.o: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI

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300.#.#.a: Páginas: 245-261

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM

doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2010.49.4.132

handle: 00c71e09d7e32bbc

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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file_creation_date: 2010-09-27 17:02:15.0

file_modification_date: 2022-06-01 16:47:57.0

file_creator: José Luis

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245.1.0.b: Significance tests for the relationship between “El Niño” phenomenon and precipitation in Mexico

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Artículo

Significance tests for the relationship between “El Niño” phenomenon and precipitation in Mexico

Bravo Cabrera, José Luis; Azpra Romero, Enrique; Zarraluqui Such, Victor Carlos; Gay García, Carlos; Estrada Porrúa, Francisco

Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM, publicado en Geofísica Internacional, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Bravo Cabrera, José Luis, et al. (2010). Significance tests for the relationship between “El Niño” phenomenon and precipitation in Mexico. Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 49 Núm. 4: Octubre 1, 2010; 245-261. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4132195

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Bravo Cabrera, José Luis; Azpra Romero, Enrique; Zarraluqui Such, Victor Carlos; Gay García, Carlos; Estrada Porrúa, Francisco
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Significance tests for the relationship between “El Niño” phenomenon and precipitation in Mexico
Fecha
2010-10-01
Resumen
We describe the behavior of the statistical significance of the differences in rainfall in Mexico during the occurrence of “El Niño”, “La Niña”, or neutral conditions. This analysis, which had not been made before, reveals the areas in which the effect of ENSO is statistically significant. The analyses were carried out for the wet season (June, July, August and September), for the dry season (December, January and February), and for the whole year. Straight lines were fitted using precipitation as the dependent variable and the value of the Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) as the independent variable. We also compared precipitation between different “El Niño”, “La Niña” and neutral conditions using the Wilcoxon – Mann - Whitney test. The results show that during the occurrence of “El Niño”, precipitation decreases in the south and increases significantly in northern and northwestern Mexico. By contrast, in years under “La Niña”, rainfall increases in the south and decreases towards the north. In central Mexico differences with respect to neutral conditions are not significant. Comparing the wet and dry seasons, their behavior is somewhat different. During the wet season, and under “El Niño” conditions, the rainfall decreased in the southern and central areas, remaining roughly unchanged in the north. Under “La Niña” conditions and the wet season, the precipitation increased in the south. During the dry season and under “El Niño” conditions, rainfall increases towards north and northwest, while with “La Niña” it decreases southwards. The ENSO phenomenon explains between 3.7 and 8.9% of the variance of the precipitation; this may be due to the many weather phenomena affecting precipitation in varying and unknown proportions. Nevertheless, in some important regions of the country the ENSO phenomenon influences the precipitation in a way that is statistically significant.doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2010.49.4.132
Tema
ENSO; precipitación; significancia estadística; territorio mexicano; variabilidad climática; ENSO; precipitation; statistical significance; Mexican territory; climatic variability
Idioma
spa
ISSN
ISSN-L: 2954-436X; ISSN impreso: 0016-7169

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