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561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/

650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

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336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

336.#.#.a: Artículo

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850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/8382/7852

100.1.#.a: Adem, Julian; Ruíz, Alfredo; Mendoza, V. Manuel; Garduño, René; Barradas, Víctor

524.#.#.a: Adem, Julian, et al. (1995). Recent experiments on monthly weather prediction with the Adem Thermodynamic Climate Model, with especial emphasis in Mexico. Atmósfera; Vol. 8 No. 1, 1995. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4121146

245.1.0.a: Recent experiments on monthly weather prediction with the Adem Thermodynamic Climate Model, with especial emphasis in Mexico

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 1995

264.#.1.c: 2009-10-05

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

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041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: A revised version of the Adem Thermodynamic Model is used to make mean monthly predictions of temperature and precipitation anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. The initialization data are the sea surface and 700 mb temperatures in the previous month. Predictions for the period December 1981 to November 1983 were carried out and verified over the Mexican Republic. The results show some skill in the prediction of temperature and precipitation anomalies. The experiments show that the ocean temperatures play an important role in the predictions, and it may be suggested that above normal temperatures in the near Pacific Ocean regions and in the Gulf of Mexico may produce below normal precipitation anomalies in Mexico and possibly favour a drought situation. Sensitivity experiments on the change of surface albedo due to changes in vegetation, show important regional variations in temperature and precipitation and therefore, suggest the necessity of its incorporation in the model for monthly climate prediction in this region.A DRUOGHT

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 8 No. 1 (1995)

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

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022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

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264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

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harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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245.1.0.b: Recent experiments on monthly weather prediction with the Adem Thermodynamic Climate Model, whit the especial emphasis in México

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Artículo

Recent experiments on monthly weather prediction with the Adem Thermodynamic Climate Model, with especial emphasis in Mexico

Adem, Julian; Ruíz, Alfredo; Mendoza, V. Manuel; Garduño, René; Barradas, Víctor

Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Adem, Julian, et al. (1995). Recent experiments on monthly weather prediction with the Adem Thermodynamic Climate Model, with especial emphasis in Mexico. Atmósfera; Vol. 8 No. 1, 1995. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4121146

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Adem, Julian; Ruíz, Alfredo; Mendoza, V. Manuel; Garduño, René; Barradas, Víctor
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Recent experiments on monthly weather prediction with the Adem Thermodynamic Climate Model, with especial emphasis in Mexico
Fecha
2009-10-05
Resumen
A revised version of the Adem Thermodynamic Model is used to make mean monthly predictions of temperature and precipitation anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere. The initialization data are the sea surface and 700 mb temperatures in the previous month. Predictions for the period December 1981 to November 1983 were carried out and verified over the Mexican Republic. The results show some skill in the prediction of temperature and precipitation anomalies. The experiments show that the ocean temperatures play an important role in the predictions, and it may be suggested that above normal temperatures in the near Pacific Ocean regions and in the Gulf of Mexico may produce below normal precipitation anomalies in Mexico and possibly favour a drought situation. Sensitivity experiments on the change of surface albedo due to changes in vegetation, show important regional variations in temperature and precipitation and therefore, suggest the necessity of its incorporation in the model for monthly climate prediction in this region.A DRUOGHT
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

Enlaces