dor_id: 4133513

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336.#.#.b: article

336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

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351.#.#.b: Geofísica Internacional

351.#.#.a: Artículos

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270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

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883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial

850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI/article/view/91/91

100.1.#.a: Ortega, Roberto; Carciumaru, Dana; Gutierrez, Edahí; Huesca–pérez, Eduardo; Quintanar Robles, Luis

524.#.#.a: Ortega, Roberto, et al. (2019). Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in La Paz-Los Cabos, Mexico: The importance of active Quaternary fault segments. Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 58 Núm. 2: Abril 1, 2019; 151-168. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4133513

245.1.0.a: Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in La Paz-Los Cabos, Mexico: The importance of active Quaternary fault segments

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2019

264.#.1.c: 2019-04-01

653.#.#.a: peligro sísmico; sur de Baja California; atenuación sísmica; seismic hazard; southern Baja California; seismic attenuation

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC-SA 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico revistagi@igeofisica.unam.mx

884.#.#.k: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI/article/view/91

001.#.#.#: 063.oai:revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx:article/91

041.#.7.h: spa

520.3.#.a: A study of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) in the southern part of the Baja California Peninsula, Mexico is presented. In this study, the contribution of Quaternary fault segments are analyzed including two faults that have been considered potentially active by some authors, but inactive by others, namely, La Paz and San José faults. Therefore, different scenarios were tested to compare the hazard estimation with the contribution of these faults and finally a logic tree was proposed to add the epistemic uncertainties. In addition, three dams situated around the study area were chosen: La Buena Mujer, La Palma and Santa Ines. The peak ground acceleration values (PGA) were compared for 50, 100 and 200 years at 10, 5 and 2% of exceedance. The combinations of periods with percentages of levels of exceedance were used as reference for different degrees of hazard assessments. The preferred model is presented in a classical PSHA logic tree. Contrary to expectations, it seems that it is not so important to include all the seismic sources as La Paz and San José faults in hazard assessment of engineering design because in this region the characteristic faults are not sensitive for lower rates. However, this is only a mere artifact of the arbitrary decision of using return periods as a degree of protection. The present results show that in the case of essential facilities 2% probability of exceedance in 200 years is the best for this specific region. It is necessary to perform paleoseismic studies in this region, to know if these geological faults are active because many important structures are located close to the studied faults. doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2018.58.2.1967                      

773.1.#.t: Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 58 Núm. 2: Abril 1, 2019; 151-168

773.1.#.o: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI

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300.#.#.a: Páginas: 151-168

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM

doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2018.58.2.1967

handle: 008e520860e5c88a

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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file_creator: Ortega R.

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245.1.0.b: Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in La Paz-Los Cabos, Mexico: The importance of active Quaternary fault segments

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Artículo

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in La Paz-Los Cabos, Mexico: The importance of active Quaternary fault segments

Ortega, Roberto; Carciumaru, Dana; Gutierrez, Edahí; Huesca–pérez, Eduardo; Quintanar Robles, Luis

Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM, publicado en Geofísica Internacional, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Ortega, Roberto, et al. (2019). Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in La Paz-Los Cabos, Mexico: The importance of active Quaternary fault segments. Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 58 Núm. 2: Abril 1, 2019; 151-168. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4133513

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Ortega, Roberto; Carciumaru, Dana; Gutierrez, Edahí; Huesca–pérez, Eduardo; Quintanar Robles, Luis
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in La Paz-Los Cabos, Mexico: The importance of active Quaternary fault segments
Fecha
2019-04-01
Resumen
A study of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) in the southern part of the Baja California Peninsula, Mexico is presented. In this study, the contribution of Quaternary fault segments are analyzed including two faults that have been considered potentially active by some authors, but inactive by others, namely, La Paz and San José faults. Therefore, different scenarios were tested to compare the hazard estimation with the contribution of these faults and finally a logic tree was proposed to add the epistemic uncertainties. In addition, three dams situated around the study area were chosen: La Buena Mujer, La Palma and Santa Ines. The peak ground acceleration values (PGA) were compared for 50, 100 and 200 years at 10, 5 and 2% of exceedance. The combinations of periods with percentages of levels of exceedance were used as reference for different degrees of hazard assessments. The preferred model is presented in a classical PSHA logic tree. Contrary to expectations, it seems that it is not so important to include all the seismic sources as La Paz and San José faults in hazard assessment of engineering design because in this region the characteristic faults are not sensitive for lower rates. However, this is only a mere artifact of the arbitrary decision of using return periods as a degree of protection. The present results show that in the case of essential facilities 2% probability of exceedance in 200 years is the best for this specific region. It is necessary to perform paleoseismic studies in this region, to know if these geological faults are active because many important structures are located close to the studied faults. doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2018.58.2.1967                      
Tema
peligro sísmico; sur de Baja California; atenuación sísmica; seismic hazard; southern Baja California; seismic attenuation
Idioma
spa
ISSN
ISSN-L: 2954-436X; ISSN impreso: 0016-7169

Enlaces