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336.#.#.a: Artículo

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351.#.#.b: Journal of Applied Research and Technology

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856.4.0.u: https://jart.icat.unam.mx/index.php/jart/article/view/1944/1008

100.1.#.a: Silva Atencio, Gabriel Alejandro; Umaña Ramírez, Mauricio Vladimir

524.#.#.a: Silva Atencio, Gabriel Alejandro, et al. (2023). Predictive models in pandemic times and their impact on the analysis of crime. Journal of Applied Research and Technology; Vol. 21 Núm. 3, 2023; 484-495. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4150069

245.1.0.a: Predictive models in pandemic times and their impact on the analysis of crime

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias Aplicadas y Tecnología, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2023

264.#.1.c: 2023-06-29

653.#.#.a: crime prediction; preventive patrolling; police statistics; crime-fighting

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC-SA 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico gabriel.ascanio@icat.unam.mx

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520.3.#.a: Through the descriptive analysis on the Open Data of the Costa Rican Judicial Power, alarming results are reflected in the number of complaints imposed in the Judicial Investigation Organism (OIJ), exceeding fifty thousand complaints in 2019. Based on those numbers, the objective for this research is to generate a data analysis model that allows to potentiate these statistics and to indicate in advance the regions with the most remarkable propensity to suffer crimes in the next five years, to promote the proactivity of both the citizen and the police to be alerted and to avoid upcoming crimes. Statistical prediction models are used to prove mathematical methods applicable to the data obtained and their behavior during 2015-2019. The analysis reflects the need to apply the simple linear regression algorithm to the developed solution available to all Costa Ricans on the Tableau Public website. The results show pessimistic predictions for the country, especially in the Greater Metropolitan Area (GAM); the behavior of crimes will significantly impact this area, which indicates the need to establish police strengthening programs improvements in education and employment to counter the potential crimes projected for the next five years

773.1.#.t: Journal of Applied Research and Technology; Vol. 21 Núm. 3 (2023); 484-495

773.1.#.o: https://jart.icat.unam.mx/index.php/jart

022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2448-6736; ISSN: 1665-6423

310.#.#.a: Bimestral

300.#.#.a: Páginas: 484-495

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias Aplicadas y Tecnología, UNAM

doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/icat.24486736e.2023.21.3.1944

harvesting_date: 2023-11-08 13:10:00.0

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Artículo

Predictive models in pandemic times and their impact on the analysis of crime

Silva Atencio, Gabriel Alejandro; Umaña Ramírez, Mauricio Vladimir

Instituto de Ciencias Aplicadas y Tecnología, UNAM, publicado en Journal of Applied Research and Technology, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Cita

Silva Atencio, Gabriel Alejandro, et al. (2023). Predictive models in pandemic times and their impact on the analysis of crime. Journal of Applied Research and Technology; Vol. 21 Núm. 3, 2023; 484-495. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4150069

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Silva Atencio, Gabriel Alejandro; Umaña Ramírez, Mauricio Vladimir
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Ingenierías
Título
Predictive models in pandemic times and their impact on the analysis of crime
Fecha
2023-06-29
Resumen
Through the descriptive analysis on the Open Data of the Costa Rican Judicial Power, alarming results are reflected in the number of complaints imposed in the Judicial Investigation Organism (OIJ), exceeding fifty thousand complaints in 2019. Based on those numbers, the objective for this research is to generate a data analysis model that allows to potentiate these statistics and to indicate in advance the regions with the most remarkable propensity to suffer crimes in the next five years, to promote the proactivity of both the citizen and the police to be alerted and to avoid upcoming crimes. Statistical prediction models are used to prove mathematical methods applicable to the data obtained and their behavior during 2015-2019. The analysis reflects the need to apply the simple linear regression algorithm to the developed solution available to all Costa Ricans on the Tableau Public website. The results show pessimistic predictions for the country, especially in the Greater Metropolitan Area (GAM); the behavior of crimes will significantly impact this area, which indicates the need to establish police strengthening programs improvements in education and employment to counter the potential crimes projected for the next five years
Tema
crime prediction; preventive patrolling; police statistics; crime-fighting
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2448-6736; ISSN: 1665-6423

Enlaces