dor_id: 4122669

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590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Atmósfera", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares

510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Sistema Regional de Información en Línea para Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal (Latindex); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); SCOPUS, Web Of Science (WoS); SCImago Journal Rank (SJR)

561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/

650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

336.#.#.b: article

336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

336.#.#.a: Artículo

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351.#.#.a: Artículos

harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM

270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

590.#.#.c: Open Journal Systems (OJS)

270.#.#.d: MX

270.1.#.d: México

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883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM

590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural

883.#.#.1: https://www.publicaciones.unam.mx/

883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial

850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/8508/7978

100.1.#.a: Minetti, Juan L.; Vargas, Walter M.; Poblete, A. G.; Acuña, L. R.; Casa Grande, G.

524.#.#.a: Minetti, Juan L., et al. (2003). Non-linear trends and low frequency oscillations in annual precipitation over Argentina and Chile, 1931-1999. Atmósfera; Vol. 16 No. 2, 2003. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4122669

245.1.0.a: Non-linear trends and low frequency oscillations in annual precipitation over Argentina and Chile, 1931-1999

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2003

264.#.1.c: 2009-10-05

653.#.#.a: Annual precipitation trends; Argentina-Chile; ANNUAL PRECIPITATION TRENDS; ARGENTINA-CHILE

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

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041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: Since the 1950’s-1960’s a large portion of Argentina has experienced a long period of high precipitation with important changes a 30-year period annual averages. Opposite conditions have taken place throughout the twentieth century in a large portion of Chile, with declining tendencies in annual precipitations. If such conditions prevail, the socio-economic implications of these phenomena could eventually gain importance due to the expansion of grain crops in the semi-arid borders of Argentina and a decline in the availability of reservoir water used for irrigation or energy generation in the central region of Chile and western Argentina. An accurate diagnosis of these phenomena is very important for applied purposes in medium term planning that should be undertaken by private and state-owned companies. These diagnoses are also important from a methodological point of view, in order to find out whether these changes in long-term averages are constant and represent a climatic change or if they are low frequency interdecadal fluctuations that would mean a return to opposite conditions. We suggest that the two intense La Ni˜na events that took place during 1988- 1989 and 1995-1996 caused a decline in the precipitation trends over a large region of semi-arid Argentina and intensified droughts in Central Chile. A regionalized local precipitation analysis of the 1931-1932/1998-1999 agricultural periods over large areas was performed. Afterwards, long-term variations for homogeneous areas were analysed through their nonlinear trends and low frequency fluctuations in a regional scale. Seven inter-annual patterns with three different types of tendencies have been found. One of them shows an increasing linear trend throughout the analysed period; another one shows an increasing trend, but also a decrease after the 1980’s, and a third one shows a continuous decrease. Regions with continuous trends include medium latitude semi-arid regions in Argentina and Chile, where an intense human impact is observed. An 18-26-year-quasi-period that affects four of the selected regions and has a clearer signal in the Cuyo region has been found. This long period signal is in phase with the oscillations of other atmospheric variables in South America and with precipitation in South Africa.

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 16 No. 2 (2003)

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

046.#.#.j: 2021-10-20 00:00:00.000000

022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

310.#.#.a: Trimestral

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

handle: 363c6ea95c6fc4f5

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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file_modification_date: 2003-06-27 17:16:33.0

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245.1.0.b: Non-linear trends and low frequency oscillations in annual pre-cipitation over Argentina and Chile, 1931-1999

last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00

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Artículo

Non-linear trends and low frequency oscillations in annual precipitation over Argentina and Chile, 1931-1999

Minetti, Juan L.; Vargas, Walter M.; Poblete, A. G.; Acuña, L. R.; Casa Grande, G.

Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Minetti, Juan L., et al. (2003). Non-linear trends and low frequency oscillations in annual precipitation over Argentina and Chile, 1931-1999. Atmósfera; Vol. 16 No. 2, 2003. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4122669

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Minetti, Juan L.; Vargas, Walter M.; Poblete, A. G.; Acuña, L. R.; Casa Grande, G.
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Non-linear trends and low frequency oscillations in annual precipitation over Argentina and Chile, 1931-1999
Fecha
2009-10-05
Resumen
Since the 1950’s-1960’s a large portion of Argentina has experienced a long period of high precipitation with important changes a 30-year period annual averages. Opposite conditions have taken place throughout the twentieth century in a large portion of Chile, with declining tendencies in annual precipitations. If such conditions prevail, the socio-economic implications of these phenomena could eventually gain importance due to the expansion of grain crops in the semi-arid borders of Argentina and a decline in the availability of reservoir water used for irrigation or energy generation in the central region of Chile and western Argentina. An accurate diagnosis of these phenomena is very important for applied purposes in medium term planning that should be undertaken by private and state-owned companies. These diagnoses are also important from a methodological point of view, in order to find out whether these changes in long-term averages are constant and represent a climatic change or if they are low frequency interdecadal fluctuations that would mean a return to opposite conditions. We suggest that the two intense La Ni˜na events that took place during 1988- 1989 and 1995-1996 caused a decline in the precipitation trends over a large region of semi-arid Argentina and intensified droughts in Central Chile. A regionalized local precipitation analysis of the 1931-1932/1998-1999 agricultural periods over large areas was performed. Afterwards, long-term variations for homogeneous areas were analysed through their nonlinear trends and low frequency fluctuations in a regional scale. Seven inter-annual patterns with three different types of tendencies have been found. One of them shows an increasing linear trend throughout the analysed period; another one shows an increasing trend, but also a decrease after the 1980’s, and a third one shows a continuous decrease. Regions with continuous trends include medium latitude semi-arid regions in Argentina and Chile, where an intense human impact is observed. An 18-26-year-quasi-period that affects four of the selected regions and has a clearer signal in the Cuyo region has been found. This long period signal is in phase with the oscillations of other atmospheric variables in South America and with precipitation in South Africa.
Tema
Annual precipitation trends; Argentina-Chile; ANNUAL PRECIPITATION TRENDS; ARGENTINA-CHILE
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

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