dor_id: 4122409

506.#.#.a: Público

590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Atmósfera", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares

510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Sistema Regional de Información en Línea para Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal (Latindex); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); SCOPUS, Web Of Science (WoS); SCImago Journal Rank (SJR)

561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/

650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

336.#.#.b: article

336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

336.#.#.a: Artículo

351.#.#.6: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

351.#.#.b: Atmósfera

351.#.#.a: Artículos

harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM

270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

590.#.#.c: Open Journal Systems (OJS)

270.#.#.d: MX

270.1.#.d: México

590.#.#.b: Concentrador

883.#.#.u: https://revistas.unam.mx/catalogo/

883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM

590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural

883.#.#.1: https://www.publicaciones.unam.mx/

883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial

850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/ATM.52751/46689

100.1.#.a: Fahad, Muhammad; Ahmad, Ishfaq; Hussain, Athar

524.#.#.a: Fahad, Muhammad, et al. (2020). Implications of 1.5 and. Atmósfera; Vol. 33 No. 4, 2020; 337-355. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4122409

720.#.#.a: NA

245.1.0.a: Implications of 1.5 and

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2020

264.#.1.c: 2020-09-30

653.#.#.a: climate impacts; gridded modeling; HAPPI scenarios; wheat; Pakistan

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

884.#.#.k: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/ATM.52751

001.#.#.#: 022.oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/52751

041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: The goal of limiting the increasing global mean temperature below 2.0 and possibly 1.5 ºC, was decided in the Paris Agreement of 2015. It is therefore important to understand the climate risk and impacts associated with 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming scenarios. The current study investigates the impacts of 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming on wheat yield in Pakistan using a gridded modeling approach. The generated climate data by four GCMs under 1.5 and 2.0 ºC were acquired from the Half a Degree Additional Warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts (HAPPI) scenarios group. The CERES-Wheat model was calibrated and evaluated using field data and then applied to the entire region of Pakistan. Model calibration results showed a close association between observed and simulated wheat yield with an error ranging from 0.52 to 1.36%. Climate change projections indicated that the mean temperature is expected to rise by 0.46 and 1.44 ºC in the 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming scenarios in the GCMs, respectively. The spatial variations of precipitation range from –22.4 to 42.6% and 4.6 to 34.1% under the 1.5 and 2.0 ºC HAPPI scenarios, respectively. Higher precipitation was recorded in northern Pakistan as compared to central and southern Pakistan. The projected changes in temperature and precipitation will decrease the wheat yield by 3.2 and 4.7% in Punjab, 17.8% and 13.8% in Sindh province under 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming, respectively. However, the wheat yield will increase by 4.7 and 13% in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and 9.4 and 15.3% in Baluchistan under 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming, respectively.

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 33 No. 4 (2020); 337-355

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

046.#.#.j: 2021-10-20 00:00:00.000000

022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

310.#.#.a: Trimestral

300.#.#.a: Páginas: 337-355

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

doi: https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.52751

handle: 009fa0f3966a75cf

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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