Implications of 1.5 and
Fahad, Muhammad; Ahmad, Ishfaq; Hussain, Athar
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM
dor_id: 4122409
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561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/
650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
336.#.#.b: article
336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación
336.#.#.a: Artículo
351.#.#.6: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index
351.#.#.b: Atmósfera
351.#.#.a: Artículos
harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM
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590.#.#.c: Open Journal Systems (OJS)
270.#.#.d: MX
270.1.#.d: México
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883.#.#.u: https://revistas.unam.mx/catalogo/
883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM
590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural
883.#.#.1: https://www.publicaciones.unam.mx/
883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial
850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/ATM.52751/46689
100.1.#.a: Fahad, Muhammad; Ahmad, Ishfaq; Hussain, Athar
524.#.#.a: Fahad, Muhammad, et al. (2020). Implications of 1.5 and. Atmósfera; Vol. 33 No. 4, 2020; 337-355. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4122409
720.#.#.a: NA
245.1.0.a: Implications of 1.5 and
502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
264.#.0.c: 2020
264.#.1.c: 2020-09-30
653.#.#.a: climate impacts; gridded modeling; HAPPI scenarios; wheat; Pakistan
506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx
884.#.#.k: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/ATM.52751
001.#.#.#: 022.oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/52751
041.#.7.h: eng
520.3.#.a: The goal of limiting the increasing global mean temperature below 2.0 and possibly 1.5 ºC, was decided in the Paris Agreement of 2015. It is therefore important to understand the climate risk and impacts associated with 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming scenarios. The current study investigates the impacts of 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming on wheat yield in Pakistan using a gridded modeling approach. The generated climate data by four GCMs under 1.5 and 2.0 ºC were acquired from the Half a Degree Additional Warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts (HAPPI) scenarios group. The CERES-Wheat model was calibrated and evaluated using field data and then applied to the entire region of Pakistan. Model calibration results showed a close association between observed and simulated wheat yield with an error ranging from 0.52 to 1.36%. Climate change projections indicated that the mean temperature is expected to rise by 0.46 and 1.44 ºC in the 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming scenarios in the GCMs, respectively. The spatial variations of precipitation range from –22.4 to 42.6% and 4.6 to 34.1% under the 1.5 and 2.0 ºC HAPPI scenarios, respectively. Higher precipitation was recorded in northern Pakistan as compared to central and southern Pakistan. The projected changes in temperature and precipitation will decrease the wheat yield by 3.2 and 4.7% in Punjab, 17.8% and 13.8% in Sindh province under 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming, respectively. However, the wheat yield will increase by 4.7 and 13% in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and 9.4 and 15.3% in Baluchistan under 1.5 and 2.0 ºC additional warming, respectively.
773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 33 No. 4 (2020); 337-355
773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index
046.#.#.j: 2021-10-20 00:00:00.000000
022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236
310.#.#.a: Trimestral
300.#.#.a: Páginas: 337-355
264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
doi: https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.52751
handle: 009fa0f3966a75cf
harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0
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last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00
license_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es
license_type: by-nc
Fahad, Muhammad; Ahmad, Ishfaq; Hussain, Athar
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM
Fahad, Muhammad, et al. (2020). Implications of 1.5 and. Atmósfera; Vol. 33 No. 4, 2020; 337-355. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4122409