dor_id: 4133250

506.#.#.a: Público

590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Geofísica Internacional", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares

510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); SCOPUS, Dialnet, Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ); Geobase

561.#.#.u: https://www.geofisica.unam.mx/

650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

336.#.#.b: article

336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

336.#.#.a: Artículo

351.#.#.6: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI

351.#.#.b: Geofísica Internacional

351.#.#.a: Artículos

harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM

270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

590.#.#.c: Open Journal Systems (OJS)

270.#.#.d: MX

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883.#.#.u: https://revistas.unam.mx/catalogo/

883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM

590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural

883.#.#.1: https://www.publicaciones.unam.mx/

883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial

850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI/article/view/48/44

100.1.#.a: Mendoza-rosas, Ana Teresa; De La Cruz Reyna, Servando

524.#.#.a: Mendoza-rosas, Ana Teresa, et al. (2019). Hazard assessment of the ongoing lava dome eruption at Popocatépetl volcano from the statistical analysis of significant explosive events in the period of 1997 to. Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 58 Núm. 1: Enero 1, 2019; 33-48. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4133250

245.1.0.a: Hazard assessment of the ongoing lava dome eruption at Popocatépetl volcano from the statistical analysis of significant explosive events in the period of 1997 to

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2019

264.#.1.c: 2019-01-01

653.#.#.a: volcán Popocatépetl; erupción de domos de lava; explosiones vulcanianas; columnas eruptivas; emisión de cenizas; exhalaciones; análisis estadístico; Popocatépetl volcano; lava dome eruption; vulcanian explosions; eruptive columns; ash emission; exhalations; statistical analysis

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC-SA 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico revistagi@igeofisica.unam.mx

884.#.#.k: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI/article/view/48

001.#.#.#: 063.oai:revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx:article/48

041.#.7.h: spa

520.3.#.a: After 70 years of quiescence Popocatépetl volcano began a new episode of activity in 1994, which is still ongoing. The predominant activity has been a succession of dome emplacements followed by sequences of dome-destruction explosions producing prominent volcanic ash columns. Moreover, relatively large eruptive columns have also been produced during the dome growth stages. To assess the hazard of this activity we use the height of the columns as an indicator of the rate of energy release of the events and of their dispersive power and destructive potential. We hence built a database of the events producing columns exceeding heights of 4 km above the volcano summit for the period 1997 to 2016. Considering the occurrences of such columns as a random variable representing the hazard of such explosive activity, we studied the statistical features of the database, and found that the occurrence rate of significant explosions is a point process developing in at least two stages, with the significant changepoint in 2003. The first stage from 1997 to 2003 is non stationary, while the second one, from 2003 to 2016, shows a stationary behavior. While the former is well described by a Mixture of Exponentials distribution (MOED), the latter fits well an Exponential distribution. The probabilities of significant eruptive columns occurring in given time intervals result to be strongly dependent on the stationarity of the process. The assessment of hazard thus requires a continuous testing of the time dependence of the ongoing process, since there is no clear physical evidence of the factors controlling this behavior. doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2019.58.1.2065

773.1.#.t: Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 58 Núm. 1: Enero 1, 2019; 33-48

773.1.#.o: http://revistagi.geofisica.unam.mx/index.php/RGI

022.#.#.a: ISSN-L: 2954-436X; ISSN impreso: 0016-7169

310.#.#.a: Trimestral

300.#.#.a: Páginas: 33-48

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM

doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2019.58.1.2065

handle: 46e0de22b9875bab

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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file_creation_date: 2019-03-01 18:18:23.0

file_modification_date: 2022-04-08 13:57:06.0

file_creator: Mendoza-Rosas A.T.

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245.1.0.b: Hazard assessment of the ongoing lava dome eruption at Popocatépetl volcano from the statistical analysis of significant explosive events in the period of 1997 to 2016

last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00

license_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/legalcode.es

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Artículo

Hazard assessment of the ongoing lava dome eruption at Popocatépetl volcano from the statistical analysis of significant explosive events in the period of 1997 to

Mendoza-rosas, Ana Teresa; De La Cruz Reyna, Servando

Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM, publicado en Geofísica Internacional, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Geofísica, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Mendoza-rosas, Ana Teresa, et al. (2019). Hazard assessment of the ongoing lava dome eruption at Popocatépetl volcano from the statistical analysis of significant explosive events in the period of 1997 to. Geofísica Internacional; Vol. 58 Núm. 1: Enero 1, 2019; 33-48. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4133250

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Mendoza-rosas, Ana Teresa; De La Cruz Reyna, Servando
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Hazard assessment of the ongoing lava dome eruption at Popocatépetl volcano from the statistical analysis of significant explosive events in the period of 1997 to
Fecha
2019-01-01
Resumen
After 70 years of quiescence Popocatépetl volcano began a new episode of activity in 1994, which is still ongoing. The predominant activity has been a succession of dome emplacements followed by sequences of dome-destruction explosions producing prominent volcanic ash columns. Moreover, relatively large eruptive columns have also been produced during the dome growth stages. To assess the hazard of this activity we use the height of the columns as an indicator of the rate of energy release of the events and of their dispersive power and destructive potential. We hence built a database of the events producing columns exceeding heights of 4 km above the volcano summit for the period 1997 to 2016. Considering the occurrences of such columns as a random variable representing the hazard of such explosive activity, we studied the statistical features of the database, and found that the occurrence rate of significant explosions is a point process developing in at least two stages, with the significant changepoint in 2003. The first stage from 1997 to 2003 is non stationary, while the second one, from 2003 to 2016, shows a stationary behavior. While the former is well described by a Mixture of Exponentials distribution (MOED), the latter fits well an Exponential distribution. The probabilities of significant eruptive columns occurring in given time intervals result to be strongly dependent on the stationarity of the process. The assessment of hazard thus requires a continuous testing of the time dependence of the ongoing process, since there is no clear physical evidence of the factors controlling this behavior. doi: https://doi.org/10.22201/igeof.00167169p.2019.58.1.2065
Tema
volcán Popocatépetl; erupción de domos de lava; explosiones vulcanianas; columnas eruptivas; emisión de cenizas; exhalaciones; análisis estadístico; Popocatépetl volcano; lava dome eruption; vulcanian explosions; eruptive columns; ash emission; exhalations; statistical analysis
Idioma
spa
ISSN
ISSN-L: 2954-436X; ISSN impreso: 0016-7169

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