dor_id: 4119707

506.#.#.a: Público

590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Veterinaria México OA", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares

510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Sistema Regional de Información en Línea para Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal (Latindex); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); Bibliografía Latinoamericana (Biblat); La Red de Revistas Científicas de América Latina y el Caribe, España y Portugal (Redalyc); Connecting research and researchers (ORCiD)

561.#.#.u: https://www.fmvz.unam.mx/

650.#.4.x: Biotecnología y Ciencias Agropecuarias

336.#.#.b: article

336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

336.#.#.a: Artículo

351.#.#.6: https://veterinariamexico.fmvz.unam.mx/index.php/vet/index

351.#.#.b: Veterinaria México OA

351.#.#.a: Artículos

harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM

270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

590.#.#.c: Open Journal Systems (OJS)

270.#.#.d: MX

270.1.#.d: México

590.#.#.b: Concentrador

883.#.#.u: https://revistas.unam.mx/catalogo/

883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM

590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural

883.#.#.1: https://www.publicaciones.unam.mx/

883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial

850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: https://veterinariamexico.fmvz.unam.mx/index.php/vet/article/view/390/510

100.1.#.a: Zarza, Heliot; Martínez Meyer, Enrique; Suzán, Gerardo; Ceballos, Gerardo

524.#.#.a: Zarza, Heliot, et al. (2017). Geographic distribution of Desmodus rotundus in Mexico under current and future climate change scenarios: Implications for bovine paralytic rabies infection. Veterinaria México OA; Vol. 4 Núm. 3, 2017. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4119707

245.1.0.a: Geographic distribution of Desmodus rotundus in Mexico under current and future climate change scenarios: Implications for bovine paralytic rabies infection

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Facultad de Medicina Veterinaria y Zootecnia, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2017

264.#.1.c: 2017-06-30

653.#.#.a: Vampire bat; rabies; ecological niche models; livestock; climate change

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico vetmexicooa@gmail.com

884.#.#.k: https://veterinariamexico.fmvz.unam.mx/index.php/vet/article/view/390

001.#.#.#: 131.oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/390

041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: Climate change may modify the spatial distribution of reservoirs hosting emerging and reemerging zoonotic pathogens, and forecasting these changes is essential for developing prevention and adaptation strategies. The most important reservoir of bovine paralytic rabies in tropical countries, is the vampire bat (desmodus rotundus). in México, the cattle industry loses more than $2.6 million us dollar, annually to this infectious disease. therefore, we predicted the change in the distribution of d. rotundus due to future climate change scenarios, and examined the likely effect that the change in its distribution will have on paralytic rabies infections in México. we used the correlative maximum entropy based model algorithm to predict the potential distribution of d. rotundus. consistent with the literature, our results showed that temperature was the variable most highly associated with the current distribution of vampire bats. The highest concentration of bovine rabies was in central and southeastern México, regions that also have high cattle population densities. furthermore, our climatic envelope models predicted that by 2050–2070, d. rotundus will lose 20 % of its current distribution while the northern and central regions of México will become suitable habitats for d. rotundus. together, our study provides an advanced notice of the likely change in spatial patterns of d. rotundus and bovine paralytic rabies, and presents an important tool for strengthening the national epidemiological surveillance system and monitoring programmes, useful for establishing holistic, long-term strategies to control this disease in México.figure 4. modelled suitability for future distribution of desmodus rotundus according to global climate model gfdl-cm3 for two time periods (2050 and 2070), and two representative concentration pathways (rcp 4.5 and 8.5). left-hand column shows suitability values, with blue indicating more suitable conditions.

773.1.#.t: Veterinaria México OA; Vol. 4 Núm. 3 (2017)

773.1.#.o: https://veterinariamexico.fmvz.unam.mx/index.php/vet/index

022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2448-6760

310.#.#.a: Trimestral

264.#.1.b: Facultad de Medicina Veterinaria y Zootecnia, UNAM

doi: https://doi.org/10.21753/vmoa.4.3.390

harvesting_date: 2023-11-08 13:10:00.0

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file_creation_date: 2017-06-28 22:31:38.0

file_modification_date: 2017-06-28 22:31:40.0

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last_modified: 2024-03-19 14:00:00

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Artículo

Geographic distribution of Desmodus rotundus in Mexico under current and future climate change scenarios: Implications for bovine paralytic rabies infection

Zarza, Heliot; Martínez Meyer, Enrique; Suzán, Gerardo; Ceballos, Gerardo

Facultad de Medicina Veterinaria y Zootecnia, UNAM, publicado en Veterinaria México OA, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Facultad de Medicina Veterinaria y Zootecnia, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Zarza, Heliot, et al. (2017). Geographic distribution of Desmodus rotundus in Mexico under current and future climate change scenarios: Implications for bovine paralytic rabies infection. Veterinaria México OA; Vol. 4 Núm. 3, 2017. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4119707

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Zarza, Heliot; Martínez Meyer, Enrique; Suzán, Gerardo; Ceballos, Gerardo
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Biotecnología y Ciencias Agropecuarias
Título
Geographic distribution of Desmodus rotundus in Mexico under current and future climate change scenarios: Implications for bovine paralytic rabies infection
Fecha
2017-06-30
Resumen
Climate change may modify the spatial distribution of reservoirs hosting emerging and reemerging zoonotic pathogens, and forecasting these changes is essential for developing prevention and adaptation strategies. The most important reservoir of bovine paralytic rabies in tropical countries, is the vampire bat (desmodus rotundus). in México, the cattle industry loses more than $2.6 million us dollar, annually to this infectious disease. therefore, we predicted the change in the distribution of d. rotundus due to future climate change scenarios, and examined the likely effect that the change in its distribution will have on paralytic rabies infections in México. we used the correlative maximum entropy based model algorithm to predict the potential distribution of d. rotundus. consistent with the literature, our results showed that temperature was the variable most highly associated with the current distribution of vampire bats. The highest concentration of bovine rabies was in central and southeastern México, regions that also have high cattle population densities. furthermore, our climatic envelope models predicted that by 2050–2070, d. rotundus will lose 20 % of its current distribution while the northern and central regions of México will become suitable habitats for d. rotundus. together, our study provides an advanced notice of the likely change in spatial patterns of d. rotundus and bovine paralytic rabies, and presents an important tool for strengthening the national epidemiological surveillance system and monitoring programmes, useful for establishing holistic, long-term strategies to control this disease in México.figure 4. modelled suitability for future distribution of desmodus rotundus according to global climate model gfdl-cm3 for two time periods (2050 and 2070), and two representative concentration pathways (rcp 4.5 and 8.5). left-hand column shows suitability values, with blue indicating more suitable conditions.
Tema
Vampire bat; rabies; ecological niche models; livestock; climate change
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2448-6760

Enlaces