dor_id: 10983

506.#.#.a: Público

590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Atmósfera", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares

510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Sistema Regional de Información en Línea para Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal (Latindex); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); SCOPUS, Web Of Science (WoS); SCImago Journal Rank (SJR)

561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/

650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

336.#.#.b: article

336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

336.#.#.a: Artículo

351.#.#.6: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

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351.#.#.a: Artículos

harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM

270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

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270.#.#.d: MX

270.1.#.d: México

590.#.#.b: Concentrador

883.#.#.u: https://revistas.unam.mx/catalogo/

883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM

590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural

883.#.#.1: https://www.publicaciones.unam.mx/

883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial

850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/32108/38326

100.1.#.a: García Cueto, Rafael; Santillán Soto, Néstor; Quintero Nuñez, Margarito; Ojeda Benitez, Sara; Velázquez Limón, Nicolás

524.#.#.a: García Cueto, Rafael, et al. (2013). EXTREME TEMPERATURE SCENARIOS IN MEXICALI, MEXICO UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE CONDITIONS. Atmósfera; Vol. 26 No. 4, 2013. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/10983

720.#.#.a: Universidad Autonoma de Baja California

245.1.0.a: EXTREME TEMPERATURE SCENARIOS IN MEXICALI, MEXICO UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE CONDITIONS

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2013

264.#.1.c: 2013-06-18

653.#.#.a: Generalized extreme value distribution; generalized Pareto distribution; maximum temperature; minimum temperature; Mexicali; Mexico; Generalized extreme value distribution; generalized Pareto distribution; maximum temperature; minimum temperature; Mexicali; Mexico

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

884.#.#.k: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/32108

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041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: Extreme weather events can have severe consequences for the population and the environment. Therefore, in this study a temporal trend of annual temperatures was built with a time series from 1950 to 2010 for Mexicali, Mexico, and estimates of 5- to 100-year return periods are provided by modeling of summer maximum and winter minimum temperatures. A non-parametric Kendall’s tau test and the Sen’s slope estimator were used to compute trends. The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution was applied to the approximation of block maxima and the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) to values over a predetermined threshold. Due to the non-stationary characteristic of the series of temperature values, the temporal trend was included as a covariable in the location parameter and substantial improvements were observed, particularly with the extreme minimum temperature, compared to that obtained with the GEV with no covariable and with the GPD. A positive and significant statistically trend in both summer maximum temperature and winter minimum temperature was found. By the end of 21st century the extreme maximum temperature could be 2 to 3 ºC higher than current, and the winter could be less severe, as the probabilistic model suggests increases of 7 to 9 ºC in the extreme minimum temperature with respect to the base period. The foreseeable consequences on Mexicali city are discussed.

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 26 No. 4 (2013)

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

046.#.#.j: 2021-10-20 00:00:00.000000

022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

310.#.#.a: Trimestral

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

handle: 00ef2e998b6a6701

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

856.#.0.q: application/pdf

245.1.0.b: EXTREME TEMPERATURE SCENARIOS IN MEXICALI, MEXICO UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE CONDITIONS

last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00

license_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es

license_type: by-nc

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No entro en nada

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Artículo

EXTREME TEMPERATURE SCENARIOS IN MEXICALI, MEXICO UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE CONDITIONS

García Cueto, Rafael; Santillán Soto, Néstor; Quintero Nuñez, Margarito; Ojeda Benitez, Sara; Velázquez Limón, Nicolás

Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

García Cueto, Rafael, et al. (2013). EXTREME TEMPERATURE SCENARIOS IN MEXICALI, MEXICO UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE CONDITIONS. Atmósfera; Vol. 26 No. 4, 2013. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/10983

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
García Cueto, Rafael; Santillán Soto, Néstor; Quintero Nuñez, Margarito; Ojeda Benitez, Sara; Velázquez Limón, Nicolás
Colaborador(es)
Universidad Autonoma de Baja California
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
EXTREME TEMPERATURE SCENARIOS IN MEXICALI, MEXICO UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE CONDITIONS
Fecha
2013-06-18
Resumen
Extreme weather events can have severe consequences for the population and the environment. Therefore, in this study a temporal trend of annual temperatures was built with a time series from 1950 to 2010 for Mexicali, Mexico, and estimates of 5- to 100-year return periods are provided by modeling of summer maximum and winter minimum temperatures. A non-parametric Kendall’s tau test and the Sen’s slope estimator were used to compute trends. The generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution was applied to the approximation of block maxima and the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD) to values over a predetermined threshold. Due to the non-stationary characteristic of the series of temperature values, the temporal trend was included as a covariable in the location parameter and substantial improvements were observed, particularly with the extreme minimum temperature, compared to that obtained with the GEV with no covariable and with the GPD. A positive and significant statistically trend in both summer maximum temperature and winter minimum temperature was found. By the end of 21st century the extreme maximum temperature could be 2 to 3 ºC higher than current, and the winter could be less severe, as the probabilistic model suggests increases of 7 to 9 ºC in the extreme minimum temperature with respect to the base period. The foreseeable consequences on Mexicali city are discussed.
Tema
Generalized extreme value distribution; generalized Pareto distribution; maximum temperature; minimum temperature; Mexicali; Mexico; Generalized extreme value distribution; generalized Pareto distribution; maximum temperature; minimum temperature; Mexicali; Mexico
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

Enlaces