dor_id: 10737

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590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Atmósfera", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares

510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Sistema Regional de Información en Línea para Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal (Latindex); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); SCOPUS, Web Of Science (WoS); SCImago Journal Rank (SJR)

561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/

650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

336.#.#.b: article

336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

336.#.#.a: Artículo

351.#.#.6: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

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351.#.#.a: Artículos

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850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/8530/8000

100.1.#.a: Gay, Carlos; Hernández Vázquez, M.; Jiménez López, J.; Lezama Gutiérrez, J.; Magaña Rueda, V. O.; Morales Alcotzi, Tomás; Orozco Flores, S.

524.#.#.a: Gay, Carlos, et al. (2004). Evaluation of climatic forecasts of rainfall for the Tlaxcala State (México): 1998-. Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 3, 2004. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/10737

245.1.0.a: Evaluation of climatic forecasts of rainfall for the Tlaxcala State (México): 1998-

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2004

264.#.1.c: 2009-10-05

653.#.#.a: Tlaxcala; precipitation; ensemble of observed similar conditions; TLAXCALA; PRECIPITATION; ENSEMBLE OF OBSERVED SIMILAR CONDITIONS

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

884.#.#.k: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/8530

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041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: During the second semester of 1997 the project “Utilización de pronósticos climáticos para actividades agrícolas en Tlaxcala” was instrumented with the purpose of aiding decision making in agricultural activities in the estate of Tlaxcala, México. The main objective of the project was to characterize extreme values of precipitation associated with El Niño/ La Niña events, to produce useful forecasts for decision-making. This was achieved through close contacts with the farmers whose specific needs were taken into account to the extent possible. In a sense such forecasts became “forecasts watched over by producers”. The method of ensemble of analogs was applied to historical data. The evaluation of annual and monthly forecasts is presented here. The results show that knowledge about the regional climate has been gained as it is reflected by the skill of the method to forecast. The forecast for the region, for the year 2003 is analyzed in terms of the precipitation anomalies.

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 3 (2004)

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

046.#.#.j: 2021-10-20 00:00:00.000000

022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

310.#.#.a: Trimestral

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

handle: 07b8c0d5df0745a2

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

856.#.0.q: application/pdf

245.1.0.b: Evaluation of climatic forecasts of rainfall for the Tlaxcala State (México): 1998-2002

last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00

license_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es

license_type: by-nc

_deleted_conflicts: 2-eb55d361bfc3bb15d9e8532cc3438a26

No entro en nada

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Artículo

Evaluation of climatic forecasts of rainfall for the Tlaxcala State (México): 1998-

Gay, Carlos; Hernández Vázquez, M.; Jiménez López, J.; Lezama Gutiérrez, J.; Magaña Rueda, V. O.; Morales Alcotzi, Tomás; Orozco Flores, S.

Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Gay, Carlos, et al. (2004). Evaluation of climatic forecasts of rainfall for the Tlaxcala State (México): 1998-. Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 3, 2004. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/10737

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Gay, Carlos; Hernández Vázquez, M.; Jiménez López, J.; Lezama Gutiérrez, J.; Magaña Rueda, V. O.; Morales Alcotzi, Tomás; Orozco Flores, S.
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Evaluation of climatic forecasts of rainfall for the Tlaxcala State (México): 1998-
Fecha
2009-10-05
Resumen
During the second semester of 1997 the project “Utilización de pronósticos climáticos para actividades agrícolas en Tlaxcala” was instrumented with the purpose of aiding decision making in agricultural activities in the estate of Tlaxcala, México. The main objective of the project was to characterize extreme values of precipitation associated with El Niño/ La Niña events, to produce useful forecasts for decision-making. This was achieved through close contacts with the farmers whose specific needs were taken into account to the extent possible. In a sense such forecasts became “forecasts watched over by producers”. The method of ensemble of analogs was applied to historical data. The evaluation of annual and monthly forecasts is presented here. The results show that knowledge about the regional climate has been gained as it is reflected by the skill of the method to forecast. The forecast for the region, for the year 2003 is analyzed in terms of the precipitation anomalies.
Tema
Tlaxcala; precipitation; ensemble of observed similar conditions; TLAXCALA; PRECIPITATION; ENSEMBLE OF OBSERVED SIMILAR CONDITIONS
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

Enlaces