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590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Atmósfera", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares

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650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

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336.#.#.a: Artículo

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883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM

590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural

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883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial

850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/8532/8002

100.1.#.a: Suárez Sánchez, J.; Ritter Ortíz, Walter; Gay García, Carlos; Torres Jácome, J.

524.#.#.a: Suárez Sánchez, J., et al. (2004). ENSO-tuna relations in the eastern Pacific Ocean and its prediction as a non-linear dynamic system. Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 4, 2004. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/10969

245.1.0.a: ENSO-tuna relations in the eastern Pacific Ocean and its prediction as a non-linear dynamic system

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2004

264.#.1.c: 2009-10-05

653.#.#.a: YELLOWFIN TUNA FISH (THUNNUS ALBACARES); EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO); NON-LINEAR DYNAMIC; Yellowfin tuna fish (Thunnus albacares); El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO); non-linear dynamic system

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

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041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: During the years between 1967 and 1994 the trimestral abundance of the yellowfin tuna fish (Thunnus albacares), expressed as the number of individuals per group age and cohort, for the Eastern Pacific Ocean (EPO), was used to calculate the biomass of this species per trimester. This information was obtained from the Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission publications (ITTC). Graphic methods were applied to this data (crude data, phase space, subseries per trimester as well as annual averages) in order to identify the behavior of the dynamics of this variable; this data was correlated with information on the presence of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) for the same period. The analysis suggests that the presence of strong ENSO events correlate with the decline of tuna fish biomass, which is followed by a rapid increase of this variable in a 3:1 time ratio; this means that it takes three times as long for the biomass to decrease than it does to recover and return to similar or higher values. After the ENSO-tuna fish biomass relations were established, two types of models were adjusted to the tuna fish biomass information: neuronal network and ARIMA. Both models described adequately the tuna fish biomass dynamics; however, the ARIMA model also permitted an adequate prediction of the behavior of ENSO variable, emphasizing that this model correctly predicted the presence of 1997 ENSO.

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 4 (2004)

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

046.#.#.j: 2021-10-20 00:00:00.000000

022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

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264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

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harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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245.1.0.b: ENSO-tuna relations in the eastern Pacific Ocean and its prediction as a non-linear dynamic system

last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00

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Artículo

ENSO-tuna relations in the eastern Pacific Ocean and its prediction as a non-linear dynamic system

Suárez Sánchez, J.; Ritter Ortíz, Walter; Gay García, Carlos; Torres Jácome, J.

Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Suárez Sánchez, J., et al. (2004). ENSO-tuna relations in the eastern Pacific Ocean and its prediction as a non-linear dynamic system. Atmósfera; Vol. 17 No. 4, 2004. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/10969

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Suárez Sánchez, J.; Ritter Ortíz, Walter; Gay García, Carlos; Torres Jácome, J.
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
ENSO-tuna relations in the eastern Pacific Ocean and its prediction as a non-linear dynamic system
Fecha
2009-10-05
Resumen
During the years between 1967 and 1994 the trimestral abundance of the yellowfin tuna fish (Thunnus albacares), expressed as the number of individuals per group age and cohort, for the Eastern Pacific Ocean (EPO), was used to calculate the biomass of this species per trimester. This information was obtained from the Inter-American Tropical Tuna Commission publications (ITTC). Graphic methods were applied to this data (crude data, phase space, subseries per trimester as well as annual averages) in order to identify the behavior of the dynamics of this variable; this data was correlated with information on the presence of El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) for the same period. The analysis suggests that the presence of strong ENSO events correlate with the decline of tuna fish biomass, which is followed by a rapid increase of this variable in a 3:1 time ratio; this means that it takes three times as long for the biomass to decrease than it does to recover and return to similar or higher values. After the ENSO-tuna fish biomass relations were established, two types of models were adjusted to the tuna fish biomass information: neuronal network and ARIMA. Both models described adequately the tuna fish biomass dynamics; however, the ARIMA model also permitted an adequate prediction of the behavior of ENSO variable, emphasizing that this model correctly predicted the presence of 1997 ENSO.
Tema
YELLOWFIN TUNA FISH (THUNNUS ALBACARES); EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO); NON-LINEAR DYNAMIC; Yellowfin tuna fish (Thunnus albacares); El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO); non-linear dynamic system
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

Enlaces