dor_id: 4140652
506.#.#.a: Público
590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Atmósfera", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares
510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Sistema Regional de Información en Línea para Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal (Latindex); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); SCOPUS, Web Of Science (WoS); SCImago Journal Rank (SJR)
561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/
650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
336.#.#.b: article
336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación
336.#.#.a: Artículo
351.#.#.6: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index
351.#.#.b: Atmósfera
351.#.#.a: Artículos
harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM
270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx
590.#.#.c: Open Journal Systems (OJS)
270.#.#.d: MX
270.1.#.d: México
590.#.#.b: Concentrador
883.#.#.u: https://revistas.unam.mx/catalogo/
883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM
590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural
883.#.#.1: https://www.publicaciones.unam.mx/
883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial
850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/53182/46950
100.1.#.a: Brizuela-torres, Diego; Villavicencio-garcía, Raymundo; Ruiz-corral, José Ariel; Cuervo-robayo, Angela P.
524.#.#.a: Brizuela-torres, Diego, et al. (2023). Effects of climate change on the potential distribution of a dominant, widely distributed oak species, Quercus candicans, in Mexico. Atmósfera; Vol. 37, 2023; 455-473. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/4140652
245.1.0.a: Effects of climate change on the potential distribution of a dominant, widely distributed oak species, Quercus candicans, in Mexico
502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
264.#.0.c: 2023
264.#.1.c: 2023-05-12
653.#.#.a: ecological niche model; MaxEnt; novel climates; ExDet; kuenm; climate change
506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx
884.#.#.k: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/53182
001.#.#.#: 022.oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/53182
041.#.7.h: eng
520.3.#.a: Mexican temperate forests are among the most biodiverse in the world. At present, they face anthropogenic pressures and climatic changes. Quercus candicans is a canopy-dominant, widely distributed species common in the moist habitats of these ecosystems. Its ecological importance, habitat vulnerability, and wide distribution make it a useful model of the vulnerability of Mexican tree forest species to climate change. We used ecological niche modeling to estimate future climatic suitability for this species and its potential range shifts under two emissions scenarios and three-time frames. We also identified areas where novel climates could arise and where predictions should be interpreted cautiously. Additionally, we analyzed how climatic suitability could change across the national protected areas system. In both emissions scenarios, areas with suitable climatic conditions were predicted to experience a net reduction of more than 40% by 2070. This corresponds to more than 100 000 km2 becoming climatically unsuitable. In the national protected areas, we forecast a contraction of approximately 30%. Climatic novelty increased considerably in the higher emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), accounting for 10% of the Mexican temperate mountains, compared to 1% on RCP 4.5. Areas of expansion of suitability not intersected by novel climates occur in areas highly affected by land-use change and other anthropogenic pressures. Effective protection of temperate forests’ tree species such as Q. candicans would need to allow migrations across altitudinal gradients, as areas of stability and expansion of climatic suitability are forecasted to occur at higher altitude sections of mountain ranges.
773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 37 (2023); 455-473
773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index
022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236
310.#.#.a: Trimestral
300.#.#.a: Páginas: 455-473
264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
doi: https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.53182
handle: 00cb24133fc2f7a4
harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 17:00:00.0
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file_modification_date: 2023-05-15 04:08:02.0
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license_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es
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