dor_id: 10977
506.#.#.a: Público
590.#.#.d: Los artículos enviados a la revista "Atmósfera", se juzgan por medio de un proceso de revisión por pares
510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Sistema Regional de Información en Línea para Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal (Latindex); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); SCOPUS, Web Of Science (WoS); SCImago Journal Rank (SJR)
561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/
650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
336.#.#.b: article
336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación
336.#.#.a: Artículo
351.#.#.6: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index
351.#.#.b: Atmósfera
351.#.#.a: Artículos
harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM
270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx
590.#.#.c: Open Journal Systems (OJS)
270.#.#.d: MX
270.1.#.d: México
590.#.#.b: Concentrador
883.#.#.u: https://revistas.unam.mx/catalogo/
883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM
590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural
883.#.#.1: https://www.publicaciones.unam.mx/
883.#.#.q: Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial
850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/23801/22400
100.1.#.a: Gómez Díaz, J. D.; Monterroso Rivas, A. I.; Tinoco Rueda, J. A.; Toledo Medrano, M. L.; Conde Álvarez, C.; Gay García, C.
524.#.#.a: Gómez Díaz, J. D., et al. (2011). Assessing current and potential patterns of 16 forest species driven by climate change scenarios in México. Atmósfera; Vol. 24 No. 1, 2011. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/10977
245.1.0.a: Assessing current and potential patterns of 16 forest species driven by climate change scenarios in México
502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
264.#.0.c: 2011
264.#.1.c: 2011-02-08
653.#.#.a: forestry sector; general circulation models; climate change scenarios; forest land suitability; México; forestry sector; general circulation models; climate change scenarios; forest land suitability; México
506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx
884.#.#.k: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/23801
001.#.#.#: 022.oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/23801
041.#.7.h: eng
520.3.#.a: In order to analyze the impacts of climate change on species endowed with forestry relevance, the present study practiced simulations in the potential distribution of 16 forest species inside the Mexican Republic’s temperate, tropical, and semiarid zones. For the examination of this effect we pictured the base scenario, as well as three models of climate change (GFDL-CM-2.0, MPI-ECHAM-5, HADGEM-1) that would take place under the socio-economic scenarios A2 and B2 by 2050. The methodology consists in: 1) a modeling of climatology corresponding to the period 1950-2000 (base scenario); 2) a consideration of the reasons for the change in precipitation and temperature within each one of the three climate change models; 3) a calculation of the soil humidity balance; 4) the creation of matrices of the forest species’ environmental requirements, and 5) a proposal for a potential spatial distribution of the species. The results show that, because of a rise in temperature and a decrease in precipitation along the entire national territory almost every month, each one of the forest species living in the temperate zones will be affected within the span of time considered. Among the species of the tropical zones, there appears a substantial decrease in the levels of those with the highest suitability, which is linked to the restrictions that are set on their development as the dry period is heightened. As for the species of the arid and semi-arid regions, the models indicate that an increase will be marked on the area of those with no suitability, which is associated with the enhancement of hydric deficit. Of the climate change models here considered, the HADGEM-1 establishes the most restrictive conditions, the MPI-ECHAM-5 establishes an intermediate situation of affectation, and the model GFDL-CM-2.0 establishes the least affectation. Geographically, the country does not present constant changes in the potential distribution of the species; these latter vary according to the climate change model that has been used, the species that has been analyzed, and the ecological zone that has been delimited.
773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 24 No. 1 (2011)
773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index
046.#.#.j: 2021-10-20 00:00:00.000000
022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236
310.#.#.a: Trimestral
264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
handle: 00a406ae86f63593
harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0
856.#.0.q: application/pdf
245.1.0.b: Assessing current and potential patterns of 16 forest species driven by climate change scenarios in México
last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00
license_url: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es
license_type: by-nc
_deleted_conflicts: 2-a88d5329560c1a73d11de12aa8c34198
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