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510.0.#.a: Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACyT); Sistema Regional de Información en Línea para Revistas Científicas de América Latina, el Caribe, España y Portugal (Latindex); Scientific Electronic Library Online (SciELO); SCOPUS, Web Of Science (WoS); SCImago Journal Rank (SJR)

561.#.#.u: https://www.atmosfera.unam.mx/

650.#.4.x: Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra

336.#.#.b: article

336.#.#.3: Artículo de Investigación

336.#.#.a: Artículo

351.#.#.6: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

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harvesting_group: RevistasUNAM

270.1.#.p: Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

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270.1.#.d: México

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883.#.#.a: Revistas UNAM

590.#.#.a: Coordinación de Difusión Cultural

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850.#.#.a: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

856.4.0.u: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/ATM.2017.30.01.06/46585

100.1.#.a: Ospina Noreña, Jesús Efren; Domínguez-ramírez, Carlos Alberto; Vega-rodríguez, Emel Enrique; Darghan-contreras, Aquiles Enrique; Rodríguez-molano, Luis Ernesto

524.#.#.a: Ospina Noreña, Jesús Efren, et al. (2017). Analysis of the water balance under regional scenarios of climate change for arid zones of Colombia.. Atmósfera; Vol. 30 No. 1, 2017; 63-76. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/11262

720.#.#.a: National program of projects for the strengthening of investigation, creation and innovation in postgraduates of the National University of Colombia 2013-2015

245.1.0.a: Analysis of the water balance under regional scenarios of climate change for arid zones of Colombia.

502.#.#.c: Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

561.1.#.a: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

264.#.0.c: 2017

264.#.1.c: 2016-12-20

653.#.#.a: Cimate change; water balance; scenarios; arid zones

506.1.#.a: La titularidad de los derechos patrimoniales de esta obra pertenece a las instituciones editoras. Su uso se rige por una licencia Creative Commons BY-NC 4.0 Internacional, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/legalcode.es, para un uso diferente consultar al responsable jurídico del repositorio por medio del correo electrónico editora@atmosfera.unam.mx

884.#.#.k: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/article/view/ATM.2017.30.01.06

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041.#.7.h: eng

520.3.#.a: This workdiscusses in detail the parameters involved in water balance. The analysis is performed by considering the current conditions and climate change in a climatic zone that represents the arid regions of Colombia: The municipality of Uribia (desert) in the state of La Guajira. For this purpose, some climatological stations, which by their reported values of temperature and precipitation can be considered representative of the arid or desert climatic zones according to the Lang’s index (PCP/Tavg), were selected. Then, with historical temperature and precipitation values registered at the station of the area, the baseline was built and its behavior analyzed. The station data were obtained from the database of the Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales (Institute of Hidrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies) of Colombia. After estimating the baseline scenarios, the current water balance on the site was calculated by taking into account the original variables and including new parameters, if necessary, for the calculation of the simplified continuity equation. The analysis included parameters such as potential and actual evapotranspiration, moisture of soil, storage or recharge and their changes, water deficit and excess, runoff, periods of recharge, and water use. Anomalies in temperatures (ºC) and precipitation were calculated by taking into account the new climate scenarios “representative concentration pathways” for different periods (short- and long-term). With the anomalies identified, the baseline for the above-mentioned variables was adjusted. Again, the associated parameters were analyzed and discussed in the context of water balance. In climate change scenarios, the water balance projects a prospective exacerbation of desert conditions in the Uribia-Guajira region, since a decrease in the Lang’s index from its current value of 18.7 (desert) to 17.0 in 2050 and 14.5 in 2070 is expected, as a consequence of a decrease in precipitation (2.4 and 11.0%) and an increase in annual temperature of about 1.7 ºC with the HadGEM2-ES model for the period 2041-2060 and 3.7 ºC with the GFDL-CM3 model for the period 2061-2080. This can be verified by means of the Thornthwaite climate classification, which categorizes the area of study as an arid zone with limited and no excess of water. This deficit could lead to serious environmental consequences, social problems and a decline in the industrial and agricultural productivity of the zone.

773.1.#.t: Atmósfera; Vol. 30 No. 1 (2017); 63-76

773.1.#.o: https://www.revistascca.unam.mx/atm/index.php/atm/index

046.#.#.j: 2021-10-20 00:00:00.000000

022.#.#.a: ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

310.#.#.a: Trimestral

300.#.#.a: Páginas: 63-76

264.#.1.b: Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM

doi: https://doi.org/10.20937/ATM.2017.30.01.06

handle: 00edc1a945ac0b19

harvesting_date: 2023-06-20 16:00:00.0

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last_modified: 2023-06-20 16:00:00

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Artículo

Analysis of the water balance under regional scenarios of climate change for arid zones of Colombia.

Ospina Noreña, Jesús Efren; Domínguez-ramírez, Carlos Alberto; Vega-rodríguez, Emel Enrique; Darghan-contreras, Aquiles Enrique; Rodríguez-molano, Luis Ernesto

Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, publicado en Atmósfera, y cosechado de Revistas UNAM

Licencia de uso

Procedencia del contenido

Entidad o dependencia
Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM
Revista
Repositorio
Contacto
Revistas UNAM. Dirección General de Publicaciones y Fomento Editorial, UNAM en revistas@unam.mx

Cita

Ospina Noreña, Jesús Efren, et al. (2017). Analysis of the water balance under regional scenarios of climate change for arid zones of Colombia.. Atmósfera; Vol. 30 No. 1, 2017; 63-76. Recuperado de https://repositorio.unam.mx/contenidos/11262

Descripción del recurso

Autor(es)
Ospina Noreña, Jesús Efren; Domínguez-ramírez, Carlos Alberto; Vega-rodríguez, Emel Enrique; Darghan-contreras, Aquiles Enrique; Rodríguez-molano, Luis Ernesto
Colaborador(es)
National program of projects for the strengthening of investigation, creation and innovation in postgraduates of the National University of Colombia 2013-2015
Tipo
Artículo de Investigación
Área del conocimiento
Físico Matemáticas y Ciencias de la Tierra
Título
Analysis of the water balance under regional scenarios of climate change for arid zones of Colombia.
Fecha
2016-12-20
Resumen
This workdiscusses in detail the parameters involved in water balance. The analysis is performed by considering the current conditions and climate change in a climatic zone that represents the arid regions of Colombia: The municipality of Uribia (desert) in the state of La Guajira. For this purpose, some climatological stations, which by their reported values of temperature and precipitation can be considered representative of the arid or desert climatic zones according to the Lang’s index (PCP/Tavg), were selected. Then, with historical temperature and precipitation values registered at the station of the area, the baseline was built and its behavior analyzed. The station data were obtained from the database of the Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales (Institute of Hidrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies) of Colombia. After estimating the baseline scenarios, the current water balance on the site was calculated by taking into account the original variables and including new parameters, if necessary, for the calculation of the simplified continuity equation. The analysis included parameters such as potential and actual evapotranspiration, moisture of soil, storage or recharge and their changes, water deficit and excess, runoff, periods of recharge, and water use. Anomalies in temperatures (ºC) and precipitation were calculated by taking into account the new climate scenarios “representative concentration pathways” for different periods (short- and long-term). With the anomalies identified, the baseline for the above-mentioned variables was adjusted. Again, the associated parameters were analyzed and discussed in the context of water balance. In climate change scenarios, the water balance projects a prospective exacerbation of desert conditions in the Uribia-Guajira region, since a decrease in the Lang’s index from its current value of 18.7 (desert) to 17.0 in 2050 and 14.5 in 2070 is expected, as a consequence of a decrease in precipitation (2.4 and 11.0%) and an increase in annual temperature of about 1.7 ºC with the HadGEM2-ES model for the period 2041-2060 and 3.7 ºC with the GFDL-CM3 model for the period 2061-2080. This can be verified by means of the Thornthwaite climate classification, which categorizes the area of study as an arid zone with limited and no excess of water. This deficit could lead to serious environmental consequences, social problems and a decline in the industrial and agricultural productivity of the zone.
Tema
Cimate change; water balance; scenarios; arid zones
Idioma
eng
ISSN
ISSN electrónico: 2395-8812; ISSN impreso: 0187-6236

Enlaces